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Game 5 Preview: Toronto Raptors vs. Milwaukee Bucks

David Yapkowitz looks at Game 4 of Raptors-Bucks, and breaks down Game 5.

David Yapkowitz

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After their abysmal performance last game, Game 4 was exactly what the Toronto Raptors needed. With an 87-76 win over the Milwaukee Bucks, the Raptors took back home court advantage and gave themselves a much needed boost of confidence. The playoffs are all about adjustments, and Dwane Casey definitely made some big ones that got the Raptors right back in this series.

Benching Jonas Valanciunas was a move that paid off. Although Valanciunas has an advantage over Thon Maker on the offensive end, he struggles defensively with Maker’s quickness and athleticism. Serge Ibaka excelled at center, and his strong defensive first half was a big reason the Raptors stayed in the game. Valanciunas was able to come off the bench against Greg Monroe, who plays more like a prototypical big man. The Raptors finally looked to establish him at times and he finished with 12 points and five rebounds and went a perfect 5-for-5 from the field. If the Raptors want to take control of the series in Game 5, this lineup change should probably remain permanent.

Replacing Valanciunas in the starting lineup was Norman Powell, the Raptors’ unsung hero of last year’s first round matchup against the Indiana Pacers. Powell had played sparingly up to this point but he deserved a chance to make a difference, and he sure did that. For a Raptors team that has struggled to hit their open three-point shots, Powell hit all three of his attempts and kept the Bucks defense on their heels by staying aggressive. His biggest contribution, however, was his defense on Khris Middleton. Middleton has torched the Raptors all series long, but Powell did an excellent job staying attached to him and making every shot difficult. Middleton finished with only 10 points on 30.8 percent shooting and he missed all of his three-point attempts. Powell should stay in the starting lineup, and he’s definitely proved worthy of big minutes to help swing this series in Toronto’s favor.

A smaller but effective move that also paid off was Casey’s decision to play Delon Wright more than Cory Joseph. Just like the past few games, Wright may not have set the stat sheet on fire, but he was a big positive on the court. He kept the ball moving on offense and played aggressive defensively. He is a long and tall guard that can give Milwaukee problems the same way the Bucks length has plagued the Raptors. More Wright is in order for Game 5.

The biggest turnaround for the Raptors, however, was their stars finally showing up at the same time. DeMar DeRozan carried the Raptors in the first half, and when he needed someone else to step up in the second half, Kyle Lowry answered the call. At the end of the day, it doesn’t really matter which role players step up for the Raptors; they aren’t going anywhere if they don’t get maximum level play from their star backcourt. For them to win Game 5, and ultimately the series, this is what the Raptors need from Lowry and DeRozan.

The Bucks, on the other hand, have their work cut out for them if they want to steal another game on the Raptors’ home court. They had the opportunity to really deal a devastating blow to the Raptors. But as the game went on, they looked more like the inexperienced team they are.

Giannis Antetokounmpo came out with the energy and intensity needed, but as the game went on, he got frustrated with P.J. Tucker’s defense. By the fourth quarter, he was forcing up shots and looking the most rattled he’s been all series. He needs to settle down and go back to being the aggressive and calm player he was throughout the first three games. He’s going to be the focal point of the Raptors defense. His game will come to him if he stays patient. He needs to be the best player on the floor for the Bucks to take Game 5 and advance to the next round.

Tony Snell had his best game of the series, but unfortunately, it coincided with Middleton’s worst. Like Antetokounmpo, Middleton was flustered by the Raptors defense and he forced up poor shots all game long. The Raptors did a good job taking away the open shots he’s been getting off screens and he didn’t adjust. Prior to Game 4, he’s done well doing other things outside scoring, such as moving the ball and making the right play. For Game 5, instead of bailing out the Raptors’ defense by taking tough contested shots, he’s got to go back to making the smart play and letting his offense come to him.

Just like in Game 2, the Bucks bench had another disappearing act aside from Greg Monroe. Again, they’re not better than the Raptors bench, but they can’t afford to have no-shows like this.

While Michael Beasley had a great impact in Game 3, Jason Kidd left him in a little too long this time and he made several poor decisions offensively, driving into the lane and throwing up wild shots. Playing Beasley is a gamble to begin with. The Bucks have received nothing from Mirza Teletovic and Spencer Hawes. John Henson is an option as he is a high motor big man like Maker, but he hasn’t played since Mar. 21. He also doesn’t space the floor the way the other bigs can. The Bucks need a big off the bench who can draw the Raptors defenders out of the paint and who won’t clog up space inside with Monroe. Beasley is probably the best option at this point, but Kidd should have a much shorter leash with him when he starts to force things.

Kidd has given Jason Terry more minutes both games in Milwaukee, and he hasn’t looked that bad. If Malcolm Brogdon and Matthew Dellavedova are going to be inconsistent, Terry could be the answer. He’s a veteran guy and a better shooter than both of them. In any case, the Bucks need much more consistent point guard play if they want to win Game 5 and this series.

Prediction  

This is has been a highly entertaining series so far. It’s been tough to predict. The Raptors looked like they might have turned the corner after Game 2, but then laid an egg in Game 3. The Bucks had all the momentum after Game 3, then gave it all away. That’s the playoffs, though. And in the end, experience usually wins out. The Bucks certainly have the Raptors’ attention now, or at least they should. After that confidence booster that was Game 4, the Raptors draw on their home crowd and take a 3-2 series lead.

 

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NBA Daily: Troy Brown Poised To Bring Versatility To The Next Level

Coming into the NBA Draft with just one season of experience at the collegiate level, Troy Brown feels that his wide range of skills makes him a player who has a lot to offer.

Spencer Davies

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Coming into the NBA Draft with just one season of experience at the collegiate level, Troy Brown feels that his wide range of skills makes him a player who has a lot to offer.

Originally recruited as a point guard by Dana Altman at the University of Oregon, the 19-year-old naturally fell into the wing position as his body matured, but he wasn’t your average one trick pony.

“It wasn’t really an option,” Brown said of the transition at the Draft Combine in Chicago. “It was more so because I grew, just a lot of size and stuff like that and playing with a lot of smaller guards. It hasn’t really been a problem for me.”

In his freshman year with the Ducks, Brown filled the stat sheet. He averaged 11.3 points, 6.2 rebounds and 3.2 assists in over 31 minutes per game and finished third in the Pac-12 with 55 total steals.

Among his class across the NCAA, Brown was one of four players to put forth those averages in scoring, crashing the boards and dishing out passes. If you can’t tell, there’s more than one strong suit in his game and he feels the same way.

“I would just say being able to rebound at my size,” Brown said of what he best brings to the floor. “I feel like being able to push it and not having to kick it up to a guard. Being able to create fast breaks for my teammates and stuff like that and get guys open really helps a lot.”

Brown measured in close to 6-foot-7 and 208 pounds on the dot with over a 6-foot-10 wingspan, which ideally will make slot him as a three at the professional ranks. He’s a solid defender as well, though he’ll definitely need to put on more weight to match up with the bigger wings in the league.

That being said, he is absolutely capable of playing point forward and already has modeled his game after a mix of different guys in the NBA, including veterans and rookies who impact their teams on a nightly basis.

“I definitely grew up and watched Penny Hardaway a lot,” Brown said. “Ben Simmons is a really big guard—triple-double type of player, that’s how I feel like I am.

“Even the role players like Andre Iguodala, Shaun Livingston. Just big guards. Jayson Tatum, even though he played at the wing a little more, just a great mid-range game and post game.”

Most of those talents he mentioned have the all-around game, including a reliable perimeter presence. That’s where the biggest knock on him comes into play.

On over three attempts per game beyond the arc, Brown shot just a hair over 29 percent from three. As the game has become more and more driven on stretching the floor, that won’t cut it in the constantly evolving pro environment.

The numbers aren’t in his favor, but Brown believes his performance wasn’t indicative of his true ability with his jumper.

“I never felt like I couldn’t shoot before and I still don’t feel that way now,” Brown said. “I’m still very confident in my jump shot. Right now it’s just getting adjusted to the new three-point line, the NBA line. Once I get that locked down, I feel like I’ll be really good.”

If you’re familiar with the Oregon basketball tree and the league itself, there were a number of players who made the most of their opportunities this past year.

Jordan Bell is a fast up-and-coming forward for the Golden State Warriors. The Memphis Grizzlies got a gem in Dillon Brooks. Even Tyler Dorsey got a shot at significant minutes late in the season with the Atlanta Hawks.

Brown didn’t play with any of them, but admits he’s had conversations with Brooks about the entire pre-draft process, receiving “words of wisdom” whenever they’ve gotten the chance to talk.

As for his own expectations for year one in the NBA, Brown agreed that those types of roles are a good starting point and hopes to follow that path before bigger things come his way.

“Of course I want to be the best I can,” Brown said when asked about his goals. “I want to be the best player, but coming in as a rookie you have to really stick with yourself and know what teams you’re coming in and playing with and your role on the team.

“I feel like the more you perfect your role, the more minutes you’ll have. By doing that, I feel like I can climb up the board and become a starter.”

In order to do that, he’ll have to improve his consistency from game-to-game.

But make no mistake about it—Brown has the tools, the work ethic and the personality to become a potential first-round steal outside of the lottery.

And with a toolbox as deep as his, there’s no reason to believe Brown won’t achieve his aspirations.

“Ultimately I feel like because of my versatility on the court, I can do a lot of different things,” Brown said.

“It’s just playing with the ball in my hands I feel a lot more comfortable making plays for my teammates and making the right plays and playing the right way.”

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NBA Daily: The Restricted Free Agency Crapshoot

With free agency money scarce, restricted free agents may be impacted the most this summer, writes Lange Greene.

Lang Greene

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The NBA playoffs are heating up as we approach the Finals, but there are other topics in the league simmering beneath the surface. The 2018 NBA Draft is less than a month away and the annual free agency period begins on July 1.

After rampant league wide spending the past two summers, free agency money won’t be as plentiful in 2018. The biggest group impacted will be players entering the land of restricted free agency. Extending an offer sheet to a restricted free agent is always tricky – especially at the beginning of the free agency period. In short, the offering team gives up their cap space while the player’s current team has time to decide whether or not to match the contract. If the current team does so, the offering team not only misses out on the player but also other free agents who are likely to come off the board during the waiting period.

For this reason most league executives are hesitant to dip their toes into the restricted free agency pond, especially if their cap space is limited in nature.

This summer there will be multiple players entering restricted free agency looking for significant pay bumps with an uncertain market for their respective skill set. The biggest question will be whether these guys ultimately find a deal to their liking or gamble on themselves and take the qualifying offer.

Taking the qualifying offer is a risky alternative. But it gives players an opportunity to showcase their skills in a contract year and enter unrestricted free agency the following summer.

Dallas Mavericks center Nerlens Noel is the most recent example. The former lottery pick reportedly turned down a four-year, $70 million deal last summer and signed a one-year contract worth $4.2 million. Fast forward, Noel played in just 30 games this season, was suspended for five games for a positive drug test and also tore a ligament in his left thumb. Noel is far from done as he is under 25 years of age, but the one year gamble did not work in his favor and he will enter free agency this summer looking for another prove it type of contract as a consequence.

Today we’ll take a look at some players who may face the same decision as Noel did last summer. With limited cap space, will these players take the one-year qualifying offer or be able to secure a mega deal in free agency? Please note, we are excluding guys almost guaranteed to receive substantial deals this summer (i.e. Zach LaVine, Clint Capela, Jusuf Nurkic, etc.)

Marcus Smart, Guard, Boston Celtics

After signing All-Stars Al Horford and Gordon Hayward in free agency the past two summers, the Celtics aren’t projected to have cap space. But the team can match any offer for Smart. The question is whether president of basketball operations Danny Ainge will proactively retain arguably the team’s toughest defender or allow the market to set itself. Smart is a tough as nails competitor, but the Celtics will have decisions coming up in the next couple of years on Kyrie Irving, Jaylen Brown and Terry Rozier. Not to mention Horford, who has a player option for the 2020 season, can also elect to enter free agency next summer. What exactly is the market for a sub 40 percent shooter from the field (sub 30 percent from three-point range) and a player who has only played more than 70 regular season games once in four years?

Rodney Hood, Guard-Forward, Cleveland Cavaliers

Hood was likely on his way to an eight figure per year salary, until he arrived in Cleveland. While with the Utah Jazz, Hood established himself as a double-digit scorer with high upside. However in 13 playoff games with the Cavaliers he is averaging 4.9 points on 42 percent shooting and 16 percent from three-point range. Hood has also been in and out of the rotation with an unfavorable plus-minus. Hood has upside but his market value has likely taken a hit entering free agency this summer.

Julius Randle, Forward, Los Angeles Lakers

Randle has increased his scoring and field goal percentage every season since entering the league. He is a traditional power forward and doesn’t shoot the three ball consistently, which limits his value in some circles. Randle is also seemingly the odd man out in Los Angeles if the team is able to secure two max level guys this summer with their cap space. This puts Randle in a holding pattern. But the second half of the regular season was very promisinmg as Randle put up 19.5 points and 9.4 rebounds per game after the All-Star break.

Jabari Parker, Forward, Milwaukee Bucks

Parker was once considered the Bucks’ foundational building block. Yes, even more so than Giannis Antetokounmpo. Funny how a span of less than five years can change career trajectories. Parker has played in just 183 out of 328 regular season games since entering the league. 56 percent availability. He has displayed a knack for scoring, when healthy, but his role during the team’s playoff run this season was wildly inconsistent. Parker’s injury history is a red flag for potential suitors and the Bucks may opt to let Parker’s market value play out before issuing a mega deal this summer.

Dante Exum, Guard, Utah Jazz

Exum flashes potential, but he has also missed plenty of time due to injuries. Exum has appeared in just 162 out of a possible 328 regular season games since entering the league. Young guys can only get better when playing and Exum just hasn’t had the court time to warrant a significant pay increase without leveraging the risk associated with his injury history.

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NBA Daily: Zhaire Smith ready to take the next step in the NBA

Zhaire Smith is ready to prove his worth and he seeks to transition to the NBA.

Simon Hannig

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Zhaire Smith out of Texas Tech is a name that rises up on a lot of people’s draft boards this season with his stellar play, especially on the defensive end.

This past season, Smith averaged 11.3 points, 5.0 rebounds, 1.8 assists, 1.1 blocks and 1.1 assists per game. He also shot 55.6 percent from the field and 45 percent from three point range. Despite a strong performance this season, though, Smith has not been consistently appearing in NBA Mock Drafts until at least 2019.

He addressed it at the NBA’s Draft Combine in Chicago.

“Yeah, I didn’t know that,” Smith said of his seemingly low perceived value. “I really don’t pay attention to all that, but it is what it is.”

One of Smith’s biggest strengths that makes him an intriguing prospect for an NBA team is defense.

“Just being a little physical,” Smith said. “Not too physical where they can draw a foul on me, but just playing. Getting low. Just playing. Moving my feet.”

Smith had a highlight reel dunk vs. S.F. Austin in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. It was one of those dunks you had to watch over and over again because you could not believe it. It came off of a pass from his teammate, Keenan Evans.

Although on play is rarely enough to get a player noticed, the play did exhibit Smith’s exceptional athleticism. Along with his defense, his ability to convert explosive finishes could also help his value among NBA teams and potentially help him end up in the league.

“Yeah. If it was a bad pass, I made it look good, but yeah,” Smith said of the dunk. “I just adjusted to it. It just happened. I didn’t even know that was what had happened.”

For players coming into the NBA, there is a bit of a learning curve—both with respect to surviving in the league and how to fit in with their particular team.

“I see myself fitting in probably rookie, first two years, just fitting in, doing good, being a solid role player,” Smith said. “And in a few years I can see myself as an All-Star.”

During his freshman year at Texas Tech, Smith played in all 37 games, including 21 starts. He holds a total points record as a freshman with 417 points. He also totaled 185 rebounds, 42 blocks and 42 steals. The 42 total blocks for a freshman were second in team history.

In terms of his numbers being more than “empty” production, on the season, Texas Tech was 19-8 when Smith scored 10 or more points. And during the team’s four-games March Madness run, he averaged 12.0 points, 7.3 rebounds, 2.5 assists, one block and one steal per game.

Although it’s early, Smith could end up being an “under the radar” type of prospect, similar to the Jazz’s Donovan Mitchell. To this point, he has been mostly renowned for his excellent defensive game, but his offensive game is respectable, even if it is still considered a work-in-progress.

As for whether he can be the “next” Donovan Mitchell, Smith didn’t shy away from the prospect.

“I think so,” he said. “…If I put in the work.”

For him, the process is just beginning. Hopefully, for his sake, his NBA journey is far from over.

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