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NBA Saturday: Blake Griffin Keeps Getting Better

Coming off an impressive playoff performance and a busy offseason, Blake Griffin is playing at an elite level early this season.

Jesse Blancarte



Stephen Curry has been the focus of attention through the first week and a half of the NBA season. He somehow looks even better than last season and is again filling up the stat sheet, draining contested step-back three-pointers, dishing out highlight assists and leading the Golden State Warriors to blowout victories. If voters had to cast their ballot for MVP today (I know, the NBA season isn’t even two weeks old yet), Curry would unanimously win MVP and no one would argue against it.

However, Curry’s dominance has overshadowed the all-around excellent play of Blake Griffin, who has also picked up from right where he left off last season. Through five games, Griffin is averaging 28.2 points, 9.4 rebounds and four assists and has an impressive true shooting percentage of 63.1 percent from the field. He is third in the NBA in scoring, has a 31.8 Player Efficiency Rating and through four games is second in the NBA in Kevin Ferrigan’s Daily RAPM Estimate (DRE) at +7.93 (behind, you guessed it, Stephen Curry).

Griffin has led the Los Angeles Clippers to a 4-1 record and has played better than anyone not named Stephen Curry so far this season. Though the Clippers have only played five games so far, we can still take a look at what has happened on the court thus far to see how Griffin has been so effective up to this point.

The first thing to note about Griffin’s play so far this season is that his jump-shot looks better than ever. Per Basketball-Reference, Griffin is shooting 38.3 percent from 10-16 feet, and 54.1 percent from 16 feet to just within the three-point line, which is well above his career average from that distance. His shooting mechanics look smoother and more natural than ever and he is showing a lot of confidence with that part of his game right now.

In this first play, Griffin looks for DeAndre Jordan cutting to the basket, which draws the Suns’ collective attention towards Jordan. Were Griffin not a willing or effective passer, Brandon Knight and Tyson Chandler probably would have stuck with Griffin, but instead both leave him open for a jumper, which he might have passed up in years past.


We see that same confidence in this next play where Paul sucks just about the entire Suns’ defense near the basket, including Griffin’s defender Markieff Morris. Morris is in no man’s land, not close enough to contest Paul and not close enough to close out on Griffin. Griffin recognizes that Morris is out of position and steps into his jumper with no hesitation.


While Griffin shot the ball better last season than earlier in his career, we would often see his hitch return from time-to-time. So far, the hitch at the top of his shot has been non-existent and it looks like he is thinking less, which is encouraging. Griffin spoke with our Alex Kennedy during the offseason and explained that he worked on just about every part of his game. One thing that he clearly worked on was his jumper and if he keeps this up, defenses will have a really tough time figuring out how to guard him.

Also, Griffin continues to utilize his unique ball skills to the Clippers’ advantage. Griffin is one of the few true power forwards in the league that can grab a rebound and lead a fast break. In this play he dribbles up the court and goes directly into a post-up against Morris. The post-up is kind of an archaic offensive move in the modern pace-and-space NBA, but it still has value. Griffin draws the collective attention of the Suns, who collapse within or near the painted area. The Clippers’ spacing isn’t optimal in this particular play, so Griffin doesn’t have an obvious pass to make to a three-point shooter (though Stephenson was wide open above the arc) and so he decides to go right at Morris. Though his post-up moves aren’t the most aesthetically pleasing, he has improved his footwork and touch around the rim, and registers another two points here.


Now that defenses have to respect Griffin’s post game, he will likely continue to draw double-teams, opening up his teammates on the perimeter. This means that players like J.J. Redick and Lance Stephenson will get a healthy dose of open jumpers when opposing defenses rotate to double Griffin, such as in this play against the Golden State Warriors.


Teams have countered this part of Griffin’s game in the past by blitzing him with early double-teams, which would fluster him at times and cause him to take a tough fall-away jumper or force a bad pass. Griffin seems more patient and decisive in the post so far this season and is finding his teammates easier scoring opportunities as a result.

In addition, Griffin continues to excel at things that have made him such an effective player throughout his career. Griffin is arguably the best playmaker at the power forward position in the league and shows that often with his ability to find open teammates in transition. In this next play, Griffin gets the ball in the backcourt off a made free throw and sprints up court, beating most of the Suns in transition and finding Redick in the corner for an open three-pointer. There are few, if any true power forwards that could outrun opposing players while dribbling up the court, leading to an open corner three-pointer for a teammate. By recognizing the inattentive defense and decisively running up the court, Griffin never let the Suns’ defense get set, and the result is an easy three points for the Clippers.


While Griffin has always been able to score and make plays for others, he has been criticized for being, at best, an average defensive player. To be sure, Griffin will never be an elite defender in this league. He has a short wingspan for his size, which means he will never be a consistent shot blocker and he has always focused more on his offense than defense. However, Griffin has improved his defensive awareness and defensive chemistry with Jordan in particular each season, and so far this season, he is proving to be a more effective all-around defender.

Griffin’s mobility at his size allows him to check point guards and wing-players on the perimeter in certain situations. In this play, Griffin ends up one-on-one against Suns point guard Eric Bledsoe. Griffin uses solid footwork to stay in between Bledsoe and the basket and his quickness to stay close to Bledsoe’s body, taking away his ability to shoot over the top of Griffin.


To be fair, Bledsoe got the ball with just about five seconds on the clock, so he wasn’t able to use a more creative move on Griffin to get a shot off before the buzzer. In fact, in the fourth quarter of this game, Griffin ended up one-on-one with Bledsoe again off a pick-and-roll switch, but this time Bledsoe had about nine seconds on the shot clock, which allowed him to get set, size Griffin up and attack him off the dribble more effectively. Bledsoe used a quick pivot to get away from Griffin and made a big layup right before the shot clock expired to bring his team to within three points of the Clippers with a little more than three minutes remaining in the game.

Nevertheless, Griffin showed solid footwork and focus on both plays, rather than leaning in and drawing a foul, which has happened often in the past. In addition, as previously stated, Griffin is showing better focus on defense and is making crisper rotations. On this play, he knows that teammate Jamal Crawford is positioned between Morris and the basket and recognizes that Chandler is in position for a free put-back with Jordan out of position after attempting to block Knight’s layup. Griffin makes the rotation and stuffs Chandler at the rim, preventing a sure two points that would have brought the Suns within one point of the Clippers with 2:20 remaining in the game.


Again, Griffin will never be a top-level rim protector, he occasionally ball-watches and he still makes slow rotations a few times each game, but his attention, awareness and communication on defense has improved significantly.

This is the major takeaway from Griffin so far this season. He hasn’t evolved his game so much as he has refined it. He is doing the same things he has done in the past, but he is simply doing most of those things slightly-to-significantly better now. From his jumper, to his post moves, to his playmaking, to his defensive awareness, Griffin is playing at peak-level right now and it doesn’t look like he will be slowing down any time soon.

We saw Griffin’s full arsenal on display in the second quarter against the Warriors on Wednesday night. The Clippers were down by 17 points to Golden State when Griffin and the rest of the Clippers’ starters started to undo the damage done by Los Angeles’ reserves. Griffin first hit a twenty-foot jumper, then on the next play drove to the rim, made the shot and was fouled and hit the subsequent free throw. He then assisted Paul, Redick and Stephenson on three consecutive plays for three-pointers and followed that up with a slam dunk off an assist from Stephenson. Griffin was directly involved in producing 16 straight points for the Clippers and it wasn’t until Paul got to the basket for a layup that Griffin didn’t register an assist or score the points himself. Paul took over from there and the Clippers ended the first half down just seven points. The Clippers ultimately lost the game, but that was a crucial stretch where the game could have gotten out of hand, but Griffin didn’t allow that to happen.

Normally I would remind readers that this is a small sample size and that Griffin could regress moving forward or caution that this level of play is unsustainable. But Griffin is simply picking up where he left off from last postseason, where he averaged 25.5 points, 12.7 rebounds, 6.1 assists, one steal and one block per game and was a matchup nightmare for the San Antonio Spurs and Houston Rockets. In addition, the Clippers’ starting lineup (with the notable switch of Stephenson replacing Matt Barnes) has proven itself to be an efficient and consistently elite lineup with Griffin as its anchor. So long as Griffin continues to be the main catalyst and engine of that unit, he will continue to rack up points and assists and be the key piece in one of the best units in the NBA.

Stephen Curry is the MVP right now and it’s not particularly close. He is playing at a historic level right now and it’s unclear if he’ll ever come back to Earth. But that shouldn’t completely obscure what Griffin is doing and has done since last season’s playoffs. He has become a complete player and is consistently doing things that no other player in the league can do at his position. He certainly has some shortcomings, but it’s hard to ignore how impressive he has been this season, even with Curry taking the league by storm.

Jesse Blancarte is a Deputy Editor for Basketball Insiders. He is also an Attorney and a member of the Professional Basketball Writers Association.


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NBA Daily: They Guessed Wrong

Matt John reflects on some of the key decisions that were made last summer, and how their disappointing results hurt both team outlooks and players’ legacies.

Matt John



It doesn’t sound possible, but did you know that the crazy NBA summer of 2019 was, in fact, over a year ago? Wildly, in any normal, non-pandemic season, it all would have been over three months ago and, usually, media days would be right around the corner, but not this time. The 2019-20 NBA season is slated to end sometime in early to mid-October, so the fact that the last NBA off-season was over a year ago hasn’t really dawned on anyone yet. Craziest of all, even though there will still be an offseason, there technically won’t be any summer.

Coronavirus has really messed up the NBA’s order. Of course, there are much worse horrors that COVID-19 has inflicted upon the world – but because of what it’s done to the NBA, let’s focus on that and go back to the summer of 2019. It felt like an eternity, but the Golden State Warriors’ three-year reign had finally reached its end. The Toronto Raptors’ victory over the tyranny that was the Hamptons Five – as battered as they were – made it feel like order had been restored to the NBA. There was more to it than that though.

Klay Thompson’s and Kevin Durant’s season-ending injuries, along with the latter skipping town to join Kyrie Irving in Brooklyn meant two things.

1. Golden State was down for the count
2. Brooklyn’s time wasn’t coming until next year.

A one-year window was open. Even if neither Golden State nor Brooklyn posed the same threat that the former did when it had Kevin Durant, those were two contenders out of commission. If there was a time to go all in, it was in 2019.

Milwaukee certainly seemed to go all in. For the most part.  Malcolm Brogdon’s departure seemed a little odd since he was arguably their best non-Giannis playmaker when they were in crunch time. Not to mention there was nothing really stopping the Bucks from keeping him except for money. Detractors will call out Milwaukee for electing to cheap out by not keeping Brogdon and hence, avoiding the luxury tax. However, there’s more to it than that.

Milwaukee thought it had enough with the core it had on its roster. Coming off the best season they had put up since the eighties, they believed the franchise built the right team to contend. There was an argument that keeping Brogdon may have been overkill with their guard depth – let’s not forget that Donte DiVincenzo did a solid job in Brogdon’s role as the backup facilitator. This would have been more defensible had it not been for Milwaukee picking the wrong guy to let go. That was the indefensible part- electing to keep Eric Bledsoe over Brogdon.

Bledsoe wasn’t necessarily a bad investment. No one’s complaining about an almost 15 point average on 47/34/79 splits or playing individual defense tight enough to get named on the All-Defensive second team. By all accounts, Bledsoe earns his keep. That is until the playoffs. Bledsoe’s postseason woes have been a weight ever since he first entered Milwaukee, and this postseason was more of the same.

Bledsoe’s numbers dwindled to just 11.7 points on 39/25/81 splits, and Milwaukee getting ousted in five games at the hands of Miami made his struggles stand out even more than it had ever been. Bledsoe may be the better athlete and the better defender, but Brogdon’s all-around offensive savvy and his only slight dropoff defensively from Brogdon would have made him a bit more reliable.

Milwaukee guessed wrong when they opted to extend Bledsoe before the postseason last year when they could have waited until that very time to evaluate who to keep around. Now they face a hell of a lot more questions than they did at the end of last season – questions that may have been avoided had they made the right choice.

Now they could have kept both of them, yes, but it’s not totally unreasonable to think that maybe their approach with the luxury tax would have worked and maybe they would still be in the postseason right now had they gone with the homegrown talent. And just maybe, there wouldn’t be nearly as much of this Greek Freak uncertainty.

The Houston Rockets can relate. They got bruised up by a team that everyone thought Houston had the edge on going into the series and then crushed by the Lakers. Now, Mike D’Antoni is gone. The full-time small ball experiment likely did not work out. Since the Rockets emptied most of their assets to bring in Russell Westbrook and Robert Covington, there may not be a route in which they can become better than they presently are.

The mistake wasn’t trading for Russell Westbrook. The mistake was trading Chris Paul.

To be fair, most everybody severely overestimated Chris Paul’s decline. He’s not among the best of the best anymore, but he’s still pretty darn close. He deserved his All-NBA second team selection as well as finishing No. 7 overall in MVP voting. OKC had no business being as good as they were this season, and Paul was the driving force as to why.

For all we know, the previously-assumed tension between Chris Paul and James Harden would have made its way onto the court no matter what. Even so, Houston’s biggest obstacle in the Bay Area had crumbled. If they had just stayed the course, maybe they’re still in the postseason too.

To their credit, none of this may have happened had it not been for the Kawhi Leonard decision. Had he chosen differently, the Thunder never blow it up, and Houston might have very well been the favorite in the Western Conference. Instead, the Rockets took a step back from being in the title discussion to dark horse. But at least they can take pride knowing that they weren’t expected to win it all – the Clippers can’t.

Seeing the Clippers fall well short expectations begs the question if they too got it wrong. The answer is, naturally: of course not. They may have paid a hefty price for Paul George, but the only way they were getting Kawhi Leonard – one of the best players of his generation – was if PG-13 came in the package. As lofty as it was, anyone would have done the same thing if they were in their shoes. They didn’t get it wrong. Kawhi did.

On paper, the Clippers had the most talented roster in the entire league. It seemed like they had every hole filled imaginable. Surrounding Leonard and George was three-point shooting, versatility, a productive second unit, an experienced coach – you name it. There was nothing stopping them from breaking the franchise’s long-lasting curse. Except themselves.

Something felt off about them. They alienated opponents. They alienated each other. At times, they played rather lackadaisically, like the title had already been signed, sealed, and delivered to them. The media all assumed they’d cut the malarkey and get their act together – but that moment never really came. They had their chances to put Denver away, but even if they had, after seeing their struggles to beat them – and to be fair Dallas too – would their day of destiny with the Lakers have really lived up to the hype?

Even if it was never in the cards, one can’t help but wonder what could have happened had Kawhi chosen to stay with the team he won his second title with.

Toronto was the most impressive team in this league this season. They still managed to stay at the top of the east in spite of losing an all-timer like Leonard. That team had every component of a winner except a superstar. They had the right culture for a championship team. Just not the right talent. The Clippers were the exact opposite. They had the right talent for a championship team but not the right culture. That’s why the Raptors walked away from the postseason feeling proud of themselves for playing to their full potential while the Clippers writhed in disappointment and angst over their future.

In the end, everyone mentioned here may ultimately blame what happened to their season on the extenuating circumstances from the pandemic. The Bucks’ chemistry never fully returned when the Bubble started. Contracting COVID and dealing with quad problems prevented Westbrook from reviving the MVP-type player he was before the hiatus. As troubling as the Clippers had played, the extra time they would have had to work things out in a normal season was taken away from them.

For all we know, next year will be a completely different story. The Rockets, Bucks, and Kawhi may ultimately have their faith rewarded for what they did in the summer of 2019 – but that will only be mere speculation until the trio can change the story.

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Looking Toward The Draft: Power Forwards

Basketball Insiders continues their NBA Draft watch, this time with the power forwards.

David Yapkowitz



We got some updated NBA draft news this week when the league announced that several key dates have been pushed back including the draft, the start of free agency and the beginning of the 2020-21 season.

The 2020 draft was originally scheduled for Oct. 16, but it will now likely occur sometime in November. Obviously, with the COVID-19 pandemic still wildly out of control in the United States, all of these potential deadlines are fluid and subject to change.

With that said, we’re continuing our position by position breakdown here at Basketball Insiders of some of the top 2020 draft prospects. We looked at the point guards and shooting guards last week, and this week we’re covering the small forwards and power forwards.

The power forward crop, like the draft overall, doesn’t appear to be as strong as recent years, that doesn’t mean there aren’t potential contributors and high-level NBA players available, as well as one who might just turn out to be a star-caliber player.

Onyeka Okongwu, USC – 19 years old

Okongwu is the player who just might develop into a star on some level. He was actually underrated in high school and was snubbed for a McDonald’s All-American selection his senior year. He established himself early on at USC as the team’s best player as a freshman and now appears to have turned some heads.

He’s been mentioned as a lottery pick and in some mock drafts, he’s top 4-5. He possesses a great all-around skill-set; he can score in the post, he can put the ball on the floor and attack and he can shoot. But perhaps his biggest attribute is his versatility on the defensive end. He’s got quick feet and mobility and can guard multiple positions.

Okongwu might actually play center in the NBA, especially in small-ball lineups, but he’s mostly played power forward and so he’ll probably see time there in the league. His skill-set fits perfectly with today’s game.

Obi Toppin, Dayton – 22 years old

Toppin is one of the older players in the draft, and in recent history, players that age tend to slip on draft boards. In Toppin’s case, it looks like the reverse might actually be true. He’s been projected as a lottery pick, and even going in the top 3.

He’s an incredibly athletic player who thrives in the open court. He looks like he’ll do well in an up-tempo offensive system that has capable playmakers who can find him in transition. He’s extremely active around the rim and he can finish strong. A decent shooter too, something he’ll need at the next level.

Toppin has the physical tools to be an effective defensive player, but that’s where the questions marks on him have been. In the NBA, he’s likely going to have to play and guard multiple positions. Whether or not he can adapt to that likely will answer the question as to what his ceiling can be.

Precious Achiuwa, Memphis – 20 years old

Achiuwa is another intriguing prospect. this writer actually got to watch him play in person while he was in high school and he was very impressive. He looked like a man among boys. He’s projected to be a late lottery pick.

He has an NBA-ready body and he’s got some toughness around the rim and in the paint. He was a double-double threat during his one season at Memphis and his knack for rebounding is something that should translate to the NBA. He’s a very good defender too, in particular, as a rim protector. He’s very quick and has the ability to guard multiple positions.

One of the main knocks on Achiuwa is his shooting ability. He didn’t shoot that well in college and power forwards being able to space the floor is almost a requirement in today’s NBA game. It’s something he can certainly work on and improve on though.

Honorable Mentions:
Paul Reed, DePaul – 21 years old
Xavier Tillman, Michigan State – 21 years old
Killian Tillie, Gonzaga – 22 years old

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Looking Toward the Draft: Small Forwards

Basketball Insiders’ examination of the 2020 draft class continues with a look at the small forwards.

Drew Maresca



It was announced on Wednesday that the NBA Draft would be delayed from Oct. 16 to Nov. 18. The rationale is that the extra month gives the league and its players association more time to negotiate changes to the CBA. It also grants teams additional time to procure information on prospects and allows the NBA to establish regional virtual combines. But nothing is set in stone.

Still, draft prep must continue. This year’s draft class has more question marks than usual – which was complicated by the cancellation of the NCAA tournament (along with the NIT and a number of conference tournaments). There are incredibly skilled offensive players with limited offensive upside and jaw-droppingly talented defenders with incomplete offensive packages. But if (recent) history serves as a guide, there will be a few guys who make an immediate impact – and some of them very well could be small forwards.

The small forward position is key for the modern NBA. Want proof? Survey the league and you’ll find that most – if not all – contenders have an elite small forward – Milwaukee, Los Angeles (both), Boston, Miami, Toronto.

But the list of can’t miss small forward prospects feels smaller than usual. Scanning the numerous legitimate mock drafts (including our own by Steve Kyler), it becomes apparent that we lack a consensus on which small forwards will be selected (and in what order) after the top 3 or 4. Can any of them grow into a star? Maybe. Maybe not. But before we get too far ahead of ourselves, let’s identify what the top few bring to the table.

Deni Avdija, Israel – 19 years old

Avdija is a relatively well-rounded prospect who’s played professionally since he was 16. He boasts good height (6-foot-9) and uses it effectively to shoot over and pass around opposing defenses. Further, Avdija is an exceptional playmaker and he’s incredibly confident, enabling him to take chances many players would be apprehensive trying. Avdija is a high-IQ player. And what’s more, he’s a surprisingly strong defender. His height and above-average athleticism allow him to block shots, and he’s more physical than you’d expect him to be.

But there are drawbacks to Avdija, too. His main issue is around shooting. Avdija shot only 28% in the EuroLeague last season, and he shot only 60% from the free-throw line. Further, while he’s a decent athlete, he’ll struggle to secure a role in the NBA. He’s going to need to add speed to stay with modern wings, and he’ll also have to bulk up to bang with power forwards.

Still, Avdija’s upside is alluring. He’s only 19, and his smarts, confidence and grittiness should provide him cover for much of his rookie season. Avdija should be the first small forward off of the board.

Isaac Okoro, Auburn – 19 years old

Avdija might be the flashier name currently, but Okoro will give him a run for his money in terms of which small forward is first off the board. Okoro is built like a traditional NBA wing; he’s 6-foot-6 with good strength packed in his muscular frame (215 lbs). Okoro finishes well around the rim and he converts well through contact. He’s an exceptional athlete who excels catching the ball on the move. Like Avdija, Okoro has the poise and composure of a more experienced player. Also, like Avdija, Okoro looked the part of a high IQ player in his lone season at Auburn.

And while all that is great, the main allure of Okoro is his defense. He’s a fairly advanced defender given his age, and his athleticism and timing make him an effective weak side help defender.

While Okoro’s raw abilities are exquisite, his refined offensive skills leave something to be desired. Okoro shot 28 percent on three-point field goals and he struggled from the free-throw line (67.2 percent). His mid-range jump shot also needs work, and he struggles in isolation situations.

If Okoro can hone his offensive game, he could grow into an All-Star. He has the ability to guard multiple positions, and his strength and athleticism give him a leg up on most prospects. But even if he doesn’t become an All-Star, he possesses a fairly high floor given his defensive abilities — and the guy definitely fills the state sheet (12.9 points, 4.4 rebounds, 2.0 assists, .9 steals and .9 blocks). He has lockdown defender potential and he’ll put his stamp on the game beginning on night one.

Devin Vassell, Florida State – 20 years old

Vassell played two seasons at Florida State, but he came into his own in his Sophomore season. He averaged 12.7 points, 5.1 rebounds, 1.6 assists, 1.4 steals and 1.0 blocks per game. He shot a more than respectable 41.5% on three-point attempts, and he demonstrated a strong stroke from the free-throw line (73.8 percent) and on two-point field goal attempts (53.2).

Vassell is an extremely athletic leaper, who can rise up for a highlight dunk and sprint down the floor with ease. He has good body control and demonstrated a strong mid-range game, especially his step-back jump shot. But Vassell must generate more free throws through decisive moves to the hoop, which would be bolstered by a more muscular frame. Additionally, he must improve his ball-handling to get more from isolations.

Vassell will have an adjustment period in terms of scoring the ball at the next level. Fortunately, his defense and shooting should get him by. If he can bulk up and improve his handling, Vassell could grow into a serious player.

Aaron Nesmith, Vanderbilt – 20 years old

Nesmith probably has a lower floor than any of the other top small forward prospects given that he’ll be 21 by the draft. Still, he looked quite good in his Junior year, averaging 23 points, 4.9 rebounds and 1.4 steals per game on a scorching 52.2 percent shooting from deep. Nesmith is an incredibly gifted shooter who has impressive range. His ability to catch-and-shoot and create space with fakes makes him a promising prospect – for the right team.

Nesmith is a high IQ player who uses his smarts on the defensive end. He’s also quite strong, can get buckets in the open floor and demonstrates above average ball-handling skills, as long as he’s not taking the ball to the hoop.

But there are inherent limitations in Nesmith’s game. He’s doesn’t create for his teammates too effectively and he turns the ball over more frequently than one would like with. Further, Nesmith is plagued by robotic movements that limit his athleticism. His ball-handling breaks down when taking the ball to the rack – something he’ll certainly have to work on in the NBA if he wants to be a versatile scoring threat against the bigger and stronger competition.

Still, Nesmith’s positives give him an excellent chance at being selected in the first round. His range alone will intrigue teams in need of a shooter.

Honorable Mentions:

Saddiq Bey, Villanova – 21 years old

Jaden McDaniels, Washington – 19 years old

Robert Woodard II, Mississippi State – 20 years old

With the uncertainty around small forward prospects, expect to see a revolving door of names enter the discussion after the first four wing prospects are off the board prior to Nov. 16 – assuming the draft is held then. But regardless of how you have them ranked, all of the aforementioned prospects have question marks. But all have had far more time to improve than they would have in years’ past. Let’s hope that shows come next season.

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